The Abstracts of Vol.1.2021
Releasing Time:01.17.2021Source:亚非发展研究所英文
Past and Future: the U. S. Posture toward China during and after the Presidential Election Campaign
Shi Yinhong
Due to the serious perverse actions of the Trump administration in the fields of global governance, Sino - US trade, Sino - US strategic competition and diplomatic exchanges, Bidens new administration is bound to correct the mistakes. However, the current situationof the United States toward China has not only strong and enduring international structural energy in many aspects, but also strong and enduring domestic political and social energy in many aspects. Therefore, its correction is bound to be partial and limited, and the confronta- tion and competition with China in other areas are bound to intensify. To a large extent, the trend of Sino-US relations after the US election could be influenced or shaped by China, so Chinas strategy and policy and appropriate adjustment are of great importance. China needsto take the initiative to avoid military conflicts between China and the United States as the fundamental common interest,at least the “ common divisor” and the leading issue, and strive for the US Biden administration to have a pragmatic, focused and specific dialogue ornegotiationwithChinaassoonaspossibleaftertakingoffice.
Chinas Strategic Evolution towards the United States: Model and Challenge
Sun Zhe
Deep turbulence over the past few years in US -China relations is partially caused by unprecedented institutional changes in both countries. There are many analyses on American domestic politics and foreign policy. However, there is a pressing need to explore the evolu- tion of Chinas strategies on the U. S. from the Chinese perspective. In the Biden era, can the relationship be “ reset” and tensions eased? Will the “ competing and cooperative” rela- tionship turn into a “ adversary partnership” in the future? To examine Chinas strategies to- wards the U. S., three issues need to be considered: Firstly, whether China has a consist- ent, clear, and accurate strategy towards the U. S. These are the key elements for China to make an accurate judgment on the U. S. Secondly, whether China has a “ top-design” on guidelines, priorities and directions to integrate various political, economic and military elements into the general policy; thirdly, whether China has a “ bottom-line” thinking to evalu- ate and review the past policies towards the U. S. and thus makes quick and relevant adjustments to win domestic and international support.China and International Development Cooperation in a Time of Unprecedented Global ChangesWei LingA white paper Chinas International Development Cooperation in the New Era was released at the very beginning of the year 2021. International development cooperation refers to a series of practices oriented towards poverty alleviation and economic growth in accordance with local conditions by relevant international agents who cooperate as equal partners. China and emerging economies have introduced lessons learned from their own development experi- ences, and ideas and practices of South-South cooperation into international development co- operation. They have made great efforts in building development partnerships, reinventingDevelopment knowledge and paradigm, reforming international development institutions, andpromoting positive interaction between development and security for lasting peace. Such a joint enterprise, in a time of unprecedented changes and the rise of global south, is produ-cingsignificantimpactontheevolutionofworldorder.
The Solution for the South China Sea Quagmire from Crimeas Entry into Russia: A Perspective of U. S. -Russian Strategic Game
Chu Zhaogen
Russias strong push for Crimeas entry into Russia in 2014 has many similar situations with Chinas dilemma in the South China Sea ( SCS). From a geopolitical perspective, bothChina and Russia have encountered the varying degrees squeeze of the U. S.strategic and security space; Both Crimea to Russia and South China Sea to China have similar strategic status and similar historical complex; and China and Russia face similar diplomatic games, international law disputes and economic warfare, and even military considerations.Crimeas entry into Russia is the result of the comprehensive use of Russias military, economic, international law, diplomacy, propaganda, and psychological warfare, the interaction between Russias Kingcraft and hegemons, the squeeze and counter-squeeze, and the contest of strategic wills and means between Russia and the U. S.and Europe. This provides a useful ref- erence and enlightenment for China to break through the predicament in the South China Sea andevenforSino-UScoopetition.Itisworthyofourdeepconsiderationandstudy.
The New Situation and Challenges of the South China Sea Issue: A Summary of the 2020“ South China Sea Forum”
Liu Zhe
At present, the strategic competition between major countries is more intense, and the situation in the South China Sea is also more complicated. Therefore, it is very important toconduct a rational and comprehensive analysis of the current situation in the South China Sea in a timely manner. The “ 2020 South China Sea Forum ” was held in Nanjing, sponsored by the Collaborative Innovation Center of the South China Sea Studies at Nanjing University,co-organized by the Editorial Department of Asia -Pacific Security and Maritime Affairsand the Huazhi Institute for Global Governance of Nanjing University. The participating experts had in-depth discussions on topics such as “ The competition between China and the United States on the South China Sea issue”, “ The internationalization trend of the South China Sea dispute: issues and challenges”, “ China-ASEAN relations in the post-epidemic era”, and“ The study and judgment of legal issues related to the South China Sea in the New Era”.Experts believe that the international trend of the South China Sea issue is becoming more and more serious, with prominent militarization features, and the struggle for rights protection inthe South China Sea has entered a new era of high wind and high waves. The “ South China Sea Forum” aims to promote the development of research on the South China Sea and provide ahigh-qualityplatformforresearchanddialogueonrelevantmaritimehotspotissues.
The Constructed Security Dilemma in North East Asia: Analysis on Japanese “ Com- prehensive Maritime Security” Policy
Song Ninger
The idea of “ Comprehensive Maritime Security” in the Third Basic Plan on Ocean
is actually an attitude with hostility to surroundingcountriesconcentratingonlyonitsownsecurity.TheideaisdevelopedfromtheattitudeofbeingonguardagainstChina after Cold War by the identity construction of “Ocean State”, which make Japaneseocean policy strengthen the cognition that security profit can only be got by treating neighbor- ing countries with the attitude of hostility. Structural influence of defensive idea can possibly make countries in North East Asia lose strategic mutual trust, Japan-U. S. Alliance may be used to oppose security cooperation in the area, and the cooperation relationship breakdown in the area may happen, and countries in the area may get common idea of hostility, con-structing security dilemma in North East Asia which is running counter to the spirit of “ Mari- time Community with Shared Destiny”. Its important to realize the structural duality betweenaction and structure in international relations for the deconstruction of security dilemma in North East Asia.
US Middle East Peace Policy and Its Trend
Niu Song
After the Trump administration came to power, its Middle East peace policy gradually took shape, viewing from its policies including the recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and the relocation of the US embassy, the recognition of the Golan Heights as Israels territory, the disregard of Jewish settlements as a violation of international law, the introduc- tion of the Deal of the Century, and the promotion of the comprehensive breakthrough of the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco in their relations with Israel. Throughout all these activi- ties, it was the Iranian “ threat” played up by the US that affected and impacted on its poli- cies. Trumps Middle East peace policy is influenced by Evangelicals and Orthodox Judaism, the political cooperation between Trump and Netanyahu, and its the inevitable result of his pushing Israel to become a “ normal” country. The policy has the characteristics of subversion to the internal and external politics of the US, inheritance on the basis of the past history, and differential order in the management of multiple groups of relations. It has serious impacts on the core status of the Palestinian issue, the faltering unity within the Arab world, and the situation of Palestinian-Israeli peace. There is a great possibility that Biden adminis- tration generally inherits Trumps many breakthrough measures in Arab-Israeli relations.
Arctic Security Strategy Environment and Chinas Policy Choice
Xu Qingchao
The return of Great Power Competition is the leading paradigm on international security studies, which applies to the Arctic as well. Pompeos speech of May, 2019 signals the emerging new turning point of Arctic geo-strategy, while the COVID- 19 Pandemic speeds up the “ New Era of Strategic Competition”. The Arctic security -related fragility has been fully exposed to the Pandemic. There are three imaginary scenarios about the future Arctic security dilemma from Chinas perspective, namely, the ongoing new Cold War, China-US- Russia strategic triangle relations, and the decoupling of China and the Arctic. Restricted by Chinas capacity to participate in Arctic affairs, policy options facing China include: First, enlarging its Arctic involvement; Second, withdrawal from Arctic affairs; Third, to pursue new balance with creative involvement. The Arctic policy under Biden administration is sup- posed to reshape the strategic environment on Arctic security, affecting directly on Chinas future Arctic strategy.