The Abstracts of Vol.6,2017
Releasing Time：11.16.2017Source：亚非发展研究所英文
Cheng Kefan
During the presidential election，Donald Trump used to make a lot of friendly remarks on Russia，which has led to a high expectation around the world that US-Russia relations might turn around finally However，as a matter of fact，when Donald Trump became US president，he not only was unable to “reset” US-Russia relations，but even caused more fierce competition and contest between the two countries in fields of diplomacy，military，security and etc.This has not only once again exposed deep-rooted structural contradictions between US and Russia in fields like strategic recognition，strategic security and geographic politics and so on，but also highlighted such practical obstacles as ever-greater gap in economic strength，more severe interference of domestic politics and constantly deteriorating atmosphere of public opinions Although it is not likely that US and Russia will get into direct military conflict in the future，competition and confrontation will become a New Normal of their relations.China should view the development and the change of US-Russia relations comprehensively and dialectically，and develop both China-Russia，and China-US relations well.China can make use of the certainty of both China-Russia and China-US relations to respond to the uncertainty of US-Russia relations.And by doing this，China can always maintain its positive and favorable position in the big triangle of China-US-Russia relations.
The Anti-dumping Causes and Influencing Factors
between
Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN）
Zhang Jianwu，Xue Jiliang and Li Nan
This paper found that there are more and more anti-dumping cases initiated to China，including about one in ten by the Association of South-East Asian Nations.The main cause of the anti-dumping cases against China is non-market economy status.The paper took 8 variables of trade volume，government credit，taxation，commercial liberation，currency liberalization，investment liberalization，financial liberalization，trade liberalization of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN） and China in 1995-2016 as independent variables，and anti-dumping as a dependent variable to do an empirical research，which found to further loosen monetary liberalization and financial liberalization can reduce the number of anti-dumping cases to China.But the currency liberalization and financial liberalization are the most important reasons for Latin America getting into a middle-income trap，the Southeast Asian financial crisis and the current global economic downturn.
China’s Ocean Strategy： Concept and Strategy
Cheng Zhijie
The ocean strategy guides the whole national marine development.China’s Ocean Strategy includes the sea power strategy emphasizing on the control of the sea，the marine development strategy emphasizing the marine economy and the strategy of strong marine country. China Ocean Strategy has three strategic goals： to safeguard rights and interests of China，to develop the marine economy and to protect the marine ecological environment; and claims to solve the disputes over SCS issue，to exploit the marine resources and to take control of the strategic channels.The comprehensive measures are to develop the marine technology，to organize the sea-land coordination and to layout the whole marine strategy toward the world.
The
Neighborhood Diplomacy
Li Youkun
The origin and evolution of the South China Sea issue is closely linked with the system changing caused by China’s rapid rise in the international system of strong Westphalian nature.After the reform and opening up，China has been devoted to peaceful development and proposed the principle of amity，sincerity，mutual benefit and inclusiveness to forge sound relations with the neighboring countries.As the issue was heated up，it is difficult for China to safeguard the rights and interests in the South China Sea and also make diplomatic progress with the neighboring countries through the principle of amity，sincerity，mutual benefit and inclusiveness.The key to deal with the situation is to build confidence and share benefits. And the responding policies of the neighboring countries in dispute also need attention.
The Military Layout of the
Asia-Pacific Rebalancing Strategy and Its
Profound Impact on the
Xi DugangLiu Jianzhong and Zhou Qiao
This paper analyzes the military layout of the USA around the South China Sea since the implementation of the Asia-Pacific rebalancing strategy，and its profound impact on the South China Sea issue.To launch the South China Sea military layout systematically，the United States promote bilateral and multilateral military cooperation around the South China Sea by strengthening the military alliance under the Asia-Pacific rebalancing strategy，showing the military presence by holding various forms of joint military exercises，speeding up the South China Sea frontier military deployment.These military arrangements have great adverse effects on South China Sea issue，such as intensifying disputes between relevant countries by objectively encouraging them to take tough action; promoting arms race in the South China Sea region by enhancing military assistance to countries of the South China Sea; aggravating the internationalization and complication of the South China Sea issue by encouraging foreign countries to intervene in; enhancing potential strategic misjudgment or promoting military conflict between China and USA by US sending sea and air forces to approach Chinese territorial waters and airspace in the South China Sea.
On the Effect of the Treaty of Peace with
to the Sovereignty of Spratly
Luo Tingting and Jiang Li
The Treaty of Peace with Japan is the first treaty involving the Spratly Islands sovereignty issue.Although the Chinese government does not recognize its legal effect to China，its impact on the Spratly Islands dispute needs attention.According to the interpretation rules of Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties，the Spratly Islands do not belong to any country from the Treaty of Peace with Japan.The treaty interpretation made by Vietnam and Philippines are contrary to the rules of international law.As the Sino-Japanese Peace Treaty passed after the Treaty of Peace with Japan is helpful to demonstrate China’s sovereignty over the Spratly Islands，its role should be valued.
An Analysis of the
from the Perspective of Intertemporal Law
You Zaoqun and Wang Jianting
In July 2016，the arbitration of the Philippines against China about the South China Sea issue has been under the spotlight to the end.It also brings scholars into deep thought about the rights in the South China Sea During the trial，the Philippines denied the historical rights of China in the South China Sea，and asked to overthrow the islands boundary “Discontinuous line in the south China sea”.The arbitration tribunal denied the historical rights of China in the South China Sea eventually according to the one-sided and erroneous understanding，and believed that the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea is the only method of Marine power source.The author thinks that although the historic gulf problems recognized in the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea overlap with the historic rights derived from the habits of international law，but there is not conflict，so the historic rights are still applicable.Historic rights have the same legal basis with and are included in the intertemporal law of the customary international，and the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea cannot deny their supplement to the source of law，which is the intrenational law.This paper mainly analyzes the relationship between the intertemporal law，territorial acquisition and the historic rights，and the significance of the intertemporal law to the international law. From the perspective of the intertemporal law，the South China Sea arbitration case is a violation of international jurisprudence，so it is invalid and should not be recognized by the international community.
Drawing a New Picture of the South China Sea：
What Chinese Media Could Learn from
Agenda-setting Theory
Tan Linmao
As a critical factor for the security of the Asian-Pacific region，the South China Sea issue has been a hotspot for all major media all over the world.For Chinese media，it becomes gradually crucial to reply the exterior and interior challenges and to strengthen the international discourse rights on the South China Sea issue.Agenda-setting Theory，an influential thought in the academic circles of the Western journalism，can help to reveal the agendas that the Western media have set on the South China Sea issue.This theory also can be a rich source of inspiration for the reports of Chinese media involving the South China Sea.Based on the framework of Agenda-setting Theory，this article analyzes the respective characteristics，strengths and weaknesses of the reports of Chinese mainstream media and we-media involving the South China Sea.In order to reinforce our agenda-setting capability on the South China Sea issue，some proposals are offered to innovate the transmission ways and reform the management mechanisms of propaganda according to the new situation.
Pirates： Background，Problems and Prospects
Li Zhonglin
The Philippine national economy is heavily dependent on the coastal waters of the Sulu Sea.In recent years，the piracy of Abu Sayyaf and other armed groups in the southern Philippines waters caused huge losses.The Philippine government has repeatedly invited China in the short term to jointly patrol and fight piracy in the southern Philippines waters.The Philippine government’s proposal is constructive for China and the Philippines.However，the joint fight against piracy is both an opportunity and a challenge; China needs to be cautiously optimistic about the prospects.In all，as the trend of maritime security going abroad is imperative for China，the invitation of the Philippines to combat piracy jointly has important implications.
Common Security： the New Perspectives and New
Issues of Arctic Security Governance
Yun Yulong
Arctic security is an important part of Arctic governance.With the acceleration of the pace of the human race to enter the north pole，Arctic security governance is facing the problems of national interest oriented control，the lag of governance concept and action，and the insufficient consideration for international and global security.Introducing the angle of common security theory can respond to common security requirements，such as Arctic security，regional common security and its outward radiating impact on international and global security，and can also deepen the understanding of Arctic common security.Discussing the main categories and characteristics of Arctic common security governance，and strengthening the core issue analysis of Arctic common security，including the foundation of Arctic natural environment and human ecological security issues，the key point of Arctic energy and channel security issues and the supplement of national security issues in the Arctic coastal countries，can help prevent the Arctic into common security dilemma，promote the process of Arctic security，and achieve long-term stability，openness and security in the Arctic.